{"id":125601,"date":"2025-09-05T13:33:28","date_gmt":"2025-09-05T10:33:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.santaka.info\/?p=125601"},"modified":"2025-09-05T13:33:33","modified_gmt":"2025-09-05T10:33:33","slug":"vaidas-zagunis-kaip-jav-tarifai-veikia-euro-zonos-ir-lietuvos-versla","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.santaka.info\/index.php\/2025\/09\/05\/vaidas-zagunis-kaip-jav-tarifai-veikia-euro-zonos-ir-lietuvos-versla\/","title":{"rendered":"Vaidas \u017dag\u016bnis. Kaip JAV tarifai veikia euro zonos ir Lietuvos versl\u0105?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Rugpj\u016b\u010dio prad\u017eioje \u012fsigalioj\u0119 JAV muitai importui i\u0161 Europos S\u0105jungos suk\u0117l\u0117 nema\u017eai nerimo tiek politikos formuotojams, tiek verslui. Pagal ES ir JAV susitarim\u0105, 15 proc. tarifas taikomas daugumai preki\u0173, tik plienui, aliuminiui ir variui \u2013 net 50 proc. Ta\u010diau pirmieji rodikliai rodo, kad euro zonos ekonomika, ir ypa\u010d Vokietijos pramon\u0117, kol kas atlaiko \u0161\u012f spaudim\u0105.<\/strong><\/p><p><strong>Vokietijos pramon\u0117 gr\u012f\u017eta \u012f augimo keli\u0105<\/strong><\/p><p>Naujausios Vokietijos pramon\u0117s \u012fmoni\u0173 apklausos nerodo dramati\u0161ko l\u016bkes\u010di\u0173 kritimo. Prie\u0161ingai \u2013 naujausi rugpj\u016b\u010dio duomenys pirm\u0105 kart\u0105 po daugiau nei dvej\u0173 met\u0173 rodo Vokietijos pramon\u0117s i\u0161\u0117jim\u0105 i\u0161 recesijos.<\/p><p>Europos Komisijos apklausos taip pat liudija stabilum\u0105: u\u017esakym\u0173 portfeliai, eksporto perspektyvos ir u\u017eimtumas rugpj\u016bt\u012f i\u0161liko tvirti. Netgi auk\u0161to da\u017enio rodiklis \u2013 vilkik\u0173 ridos indeksas \u2013 rodo, kad transporto sektorius nesilpn\u0117ja.<\/p><p><strong>Lietuvoje ir Lenkijoje \u2013 pirmieji signalai<\/strong><\/p><p>Vis d\u0117lto reikia nepamir\u0161ti, kad Vokietijos pramon\u0117s b\u016bkl\u0117 itin priklauso nuo komponent\u0173 gamintoj\u0173 kitose \u0161alyse, pavyzd\u017eiui, Lenkijoje ir Lietuvoje, kur pastebimi pirmieji rizikos po\u017eymiai. M\u016bs\u0173 \u0161alies pramon\u0117, kuri dar neseniai fiksavo istorinius gamybos apim\u010di\u0173 rekordus, pastaraisiais m\u0117nesiais rodo kritim\u0105, ta\u010diau vis dar i\u0161lieka itin auk\u0161tame lygyje.<\/p><p>Lenkijos gamintojai taip pat kiek atsargesni d\u0117l u\u017esakym\u0173, ta\u010diau kol kas be didelio nuosmukio. Tai \u2013 pirmieji signalai, kad tarif\u0173 poveikis per tiekimo grandines gali b\u016bti anks\u010diau jau\u010diamas susijusiose rinkose nei pa\u010dioje Vokietijoje.<\/p><p><strong>Vidaus vartojimas kompensuoja eksporto rizikas<\/strong><\/p><p>Pastebimas \u012fdomus rei\u0161kinys \u2013 stipr\u0117jantis vidaus vartojimas Vokietijoje. Ma\u017emenin\u0117s prekybos apimtys ne maisto preki\u0173 segmente liep\u0105 pasiek\u0117 auk\u0161\u010diausi\u0105 lyg\u012f per trejus metus. Ma\u017e\u0117jan\u010dios paskol\u0173 pal\u016bkanos, kylantys atlyginimai ir sul\u0117t\u0117jusi infliacija skatina vartotojus dr\u0105siau leisti pinigus, o tai padeda kompensuoti eksporto rizikas.<\/p><p>Be to, Vokietijos ma\u017emeninink\u0173 apklausos rodo, kad j\u0173 l\u016bkes\u010diai d\u0117l u\u017esakym\u0173 ir darbuotoj\u0173 skai\u010diaus yra geriausi per pastaruosius devynis m\u0117nesius.<\/p><p><strong>Rinkos nepanikuoja<\/strong><\/p><p>Rinkos l\u016bkes\u010diai taip pat signalizuoja ramyb\u0119. Naujausios \u201eChatham Financial\u201c prognoz\u0117s rodo, kad 3 m\u0117n. Euribor gali suma\u017e\u0117ti nuo dabartini\u0173 2 proc. iki 1,9 proc., bet tai grei\u010diausiai bus \u017eemiausias ta\u0161kas, kur\u012f pasieksime \u0161i\u0173 met\u0173 gale.<\/p><p>Kitaip tariant, rinkos dalyviai nesitiki nei staigaus euro zonos nuosmukio, nei papildom\u0173 pal\u016bkan\u0173 karpym\u0173 artimiausiu metu.<\/p><p><strong>Laikina korekcija, o ne kriz\u0117<\/strong><\/p><p>Taigi pirmieji m\u0117nesiai po tarif\u0173 \u012fsigaliojimo rodo, kad euro zonos ekonomika i\u0161lieka stabili, o Vokietijos pramon\u0117 netgi demonstruoja atsigavimo po\u017eymius. Nors Lietuvos ir kit\u0173 regiono \u0161ali\u0173 gamintojams tenka susidurti su tam tikru u\u017esakym\u0173 suma\u017e\u0117jimu, \u0161ie poky\u010diai kol kas atrodo labiau kaip laikina korekcija nei gilesn\u0117s kriz\u0117s \u017eenklas.<\/p><p>Jei vidaus vartojimo tendencijos Vokietijoje toliau stipr\u0117s, tai bus pozityvus impulsas visam regionui, \u012fskaitant ir Lietuv\u0105.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Rugpj\u016b\u010dio prad\u017eioje \u012fsigalioj\u0119 JAV muitai importui i\u0161 Europos S\u0105jungos suk\u0117l\u0117 nema\u017eai nerimo tiek politikos formuotojams, tiek verslui. Pagal ES ir JAV susitarim\u0105, 15 proc. tarifas taikomas daugumai preki\u0173, tik plienui,&#8230; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":13,"featured_media":125602,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"pmpro_default_level":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_FSMCFIC_featured_image_caption":"Vaidas \u017dag\u016bnis. Bendrov\u0117s nuotr.","_FSMCFIC_featured_image_nocaption":"","_FSMCFIC_featured_image_hide":"","_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[123,91],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-125601","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomika","category-verslas","pmpro-has-access"],"featured_image_urls":{"full":["https:\/\/www.santaka.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Vaidas-Zagunis-bendroves-nuotr.jpg",1920,1280,false],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/www.santaka.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Vaidas-Zagunis-bendroves-nuotr-150x150.jpg",150,150,true],"medium":["https:\/\/www.santaka.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Vaidas-Zagunis-bendroves-nuotr-300x200.jpg",300,200,true],"medium_large":["https:\/\/www.santaka.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Vaidas-Zagunis-bendroves-nuotr-768x512.jpg",768,512,true],"large":["https:\/\/www.santaka.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Vaidas-Zagunis-bendroves-nuotr-1024x683.jpg",1024,683,true],"1536x1536":["https:\/\/www.santaka.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Vaidas-Zagunis-bendroves-nuotr-1536x1024.jpg",1536,1024,true],"2048x2048":["https:\/\/www.santaka.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Vaidas-Zagunis-bendroves-nuotr.jpg",1920,1280,false],"post-thumbnail":["https:\/\/www.santaka.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Vaidas-Zagunis-bendroves-nuotr-600x400.jpg",600,400,true],"visualnews_post_thumb":["https:\/\/www.santaka.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Vaidas-Zagunis-bendroves-nuotr-600x400.jpg",600,400,true],"woocommerce_thumbnail":["https:\/\/www.santaka.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Vaidas-Zagunis-bendroves-nuotr-300x300.jpg",300,300,true],"woocommerce_single":["https:\/\/www.santaka.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Vaidas-Zagunis-bendroves-nuotr-600x400.jpg",600,400,true],"woocommerce_gallery_thumbnail":["https:\/\/www.santaka.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Vaidas-Zagunis-bendroves-nuotr-100x100.jpg",100,100,true]},"author_info":{"info":["Gidas"]},"category_info":"<a href=\"https:\/\/www.santaka.info\/index.php\/category\/kitos-temos\/ekonomika\/\" rel=\"category tag\">Ekonomika<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.santaka.info\/index.php\/category\/aktualijos\/verslas\/\" rel=\"category tag\">Verslas<\/a>","tag_info":"Verslas","comment_count":"0","jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/www.santaka.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Vaidas-Zagunis-bendroves-nuotr.jpg","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.santaka.info\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/125601","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.santaka.info\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.santaka.info\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.santaka.info\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/13"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.santaka.info\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=125601"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.santaka.info\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/125601\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":125603,"href":"https:\/\/www.santaka.info\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/125601\/revisions\/125603"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.santaka.info\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/125602"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.santaka.info\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=125601"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.santaka.info\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=125601"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.santaka.info\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=125601"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}